UK recession: ‘The worst is now starting’ warns Ken Clarke
The Office for National Statistics released their figures on Wednesday morning, showing that prices are climbing faster than they have in 40 years. UK inflation had already risen to 7 percent in March.
The rate of Consumer Prices Index inflation is used to judge the cost of living, as energy, food, and fuel prices climb.
Inflation rates in the UK have not reached 9 percent since 1982, with the Ukraine war driving up prices of goods and services, and the 54 percent increase in the energy cap for UK households coming into effect.
This has seen hundreds of pounds added to energy bills in homes across the country.
The increasing costs of transport and machinery, as well as energy, have pushed prices higher, the ONS said.
UK inflation soared to 9 percent in the 12 months to April
BoE Governor Andrew Bailey looked to the impact of an ‘unprecedented’ series of ‘shocks’
The figures have heightened fears that the UK could tip into a recession, after the Bank of England (BoE) forecast that inflation could reach double digits later in the year.
The economy shrinking for two consecutive periods of three months would be defined as a recession.
The British Chambers of Commerce, reacting to the news on Wednesday morning, said there was now a “real chance” of a UK recession, calling on the Government to ax the National Insurance rise that came into force last month.
Suren Thiru, head of economics at the BCC, said: “The jump in UK inflation in April is eye-watering and underscores the growing cost-of-living crisis facing households and the damaging squeeze on firms’ ability to invest and operate at full capacity. “
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Mr Bailey warned of ‘apocalyptic’ food prices
He added: “The scale at which inflation is damaging key drivers of UK output, including consumer spending and business investment, is unprecedented and means there is a real chance the UK will be in recession by the third quarter of the year.”
BoE Governor, Andrew Bailey, added on Monday the outlook was “apocalyptic” for food price increases, laying the blame at the door of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
He told MPs: “The most important thing we can do is to get inflation back to target and to get back to target without unnecessary disruption to the economy.”
Alongside the Ukraine war, and the impact of losing its food exports such as grain, the impact of China’s Zero Covid policy was another “shock” in an “unprecedented” chain of events.
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Mr Bailey said: “A sequence of shocks like this, which have come really one after another with no gaps between them, is almost unprecedented.”
But the shockwaves are being felt by Britons across the country, including by struggling small business owners.
Small business owner, Stewart Morton-Collings, described the cost of living squeeze as “unlike anything we’ve ever seen”.
He said: “Our only option is to work seven days a week, every week, with no breaks.”
With no holidays, slashed use of vehicles and only the minimum energy used, Stewart said this still “won’t be enough to get us through”, adding: “It feels like we’ve gone backwards 50 years.”
This was echoed by Jamie Rackham, founder of small, independent business group, ‘Not on Amazon’.
He described inflation reaching 9 percent as “absolutely devastating to millions of people”, adding that the “Government is doing nowhere near enough to support working people”.
The ONS said last week that the UK economy shrank by 0.1 percent in March as people cut back on spending.