Toledo vs. East Carolina odds, line, spread: 2022 Gulf Coast Showcase picks, predictions from proven model

The East Carolina Pirates take on the Toledo Rockets in one of the earliest tips on the Tuesday college basketball schedule. The teams enter with identical 3-1 records following losses on Monday. The Pirates and Rockets meet in Estero, Fla., as part of the 2022 Gulf Coast Showcase. Toledo lost its opener in the tournament to UMKC, with East Carolina falling to Indiana State.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Rockets as 9.5-point favorites for this 11 am ET tip. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 158 in the latest Toledo vs. East Carolina odds. Before making any East Carolina vs. Toledo picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past six years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of more than $1,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread.

Now, the model has set its sights on Toledo vs. ECU and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for ECU vs. Toledo:

  • Toledo vs. East Carolina spread: Toledo -9.5
  • Toledo vs. East Carolina over/under: 158 points
  • Toledo vs. East Carolina money line: Toledo -475, ECU +360
  • TOL: The Rockets are 3-1 against the spread this season
  • ECU: The Pirates are 3-1 against the spread this season
  • Toledo vs. East Carolina Picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Games | East Carolina Pirates vs. Toledo Rockets

Why Toledo can cover

Toledo’s defense has some strong numbers. The Rockets are above average in free throw rate allowed on defense, with Toledo securing almost 72% of available defensive rebounds. Toledo has a sterling 10.5% steal rate, and the Rockets are above-average in 3-point attempt rate allowed and assist rate allowed this season. East Carolina turns the ball over on more than 20% of offensive possessions, and Toledo’s offense is very potent.

Toledo is in the top 40 of the country in adjusted offensive efficiency, shooting 55.7% on 2-point attempts and 39.3% on 3-point attempts. Toledo’s ball security is also elite, with the Rockets committing a turnover on only 14.4% of possessions and a live-ball turnover on only 7.5% of possessions.

Why ECU can cover

East Carolina is 3-1 and performing well to begin the season. The Pirates are in the top 15 of the country in free throw creation rate, and East Carolina has a 35.4% offensive rebound rate that brings an edge in the possession battle. East Carolina is also in the top 25 of the country in 3-point attempt rate, making an above-average number of triples, and the Pirates are shooting almost 51% on 2-point attempts.

Toledo is below-average in turnover creation on defense, with the Rockets yielding 36.1% shooting on 3-point attempts and blocking only 6.9% of shot attempts. East Carolina has a 73.1% defensive rebound rate, with opponents shooting fewer than 47% on 2-point attempts and the Pirates blocking more than 10% of shot attempts. Toledo is outside the top 250 of the nation in free throw creation rate in 2022-23.

How to make East Carolina vs. Toledo picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 151 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 70% of the time. You can see the picks here.

So who wins Toledo vs. ecu? And which side of the spread hits well over 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college basketball picksand find out.

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