An NBA Finals rematch, a game in Paris and two of the game’s best scorers facing off on the West Coast?
What a day it is in the NBA, and per usual we’re making some bets on the night’s action.
We’re fresh off of a sweep in yesterday’s column, and that’s continued the best betting stretch of my life.
I’m dead serious.
So, if you’re a first time reader or want to know where to get these picks every day, you’re in the right place, because I have them in my column here at FanSided.com or on my Twitter (@peterdewey2) every single day.
Tonight we’re rolling with a prop bet for the Brooklyn Nets, a player prop for one Golden State Warriors star and a moneyline pick in one of the late-night games.
Let’s dive into the picks and keep this hot streak going!
NBA best bets record to date
NBA best bets today
- Brooklyn Nets 1Q Moneyline (-120) vs. Phoenix Suns
- Philadelphia 76ers Moneyline (-135) vs. Portland Trail Blazers
- Jordan Poole OVER 2.5 Turnovers (-115)
Brooklyn Nets 1Q Moneyline vs. Phoenix Suns
If you’re looking to bet on the Brooklyn Nets-Phoenix Suns game, the first quarter is where you should be looking.
The Suns have been dreadful in first quarters in the last 10 games, posting a shocking -23.9 net rating. Even with Cam Johnson back and Chris Paul potentially returning tonight, the Suns are missing one of the league’s best first quarter scorers in Devin Booker.
That’s led to a rough offensive showing early in games, and now they have to take on the team that ranks third in the NBA this season in first quarter net rating at +10.4.
Yes, the Nets aren’t as good with Kevin Durant out of the lineup, but Kyrie Irving and company should be able to give the Nets a solid start in this game. Brooklyn won the first quarter against Boston without KD, so this is a much easier matchup on Thursday.
Philadelphia 76ers Moneyline (-135) vs. Portland Trail Blazers
The Philadelphia 76ers are playing some of the best basketball in the NBA, winning eight of their last 10 games.
They’re finally at full strength with James Harden, Tyrese Maxey and Tobias Harris all healthy, and they’ve been elite since Harden came back from a foot injury. Since Harden returned to the lineup on Dec. 5, the Sixers have promptly gone 15-5, going 14-5 in the 19 games that Harden has been active in.
The Portland Trail Blazers are just 3-7 in their last 10 games, losing at home to the Cleveland Cavaliers (who have struggled on the road) and the Orlando Magic over this stretch.
The Sixers are top seven in the league in both offensive and defensive ratings, and they’ve gone 8-4 straight up as road favorites this season.
I’ll trust Joel Embiid and company to pick up the win tonight.
Jordan Poole OVER 2.5 Turnovers (-115)
Jordan Poole has been playing much better for the Golden State Warriors, scoring 20 or more points in 10 of his last 11 games, but he’s still had an issue turning the ball over.
On the season, Poole averages 3.5 turnovers per game, and that number jumps to 3.8 when the Warriors are on the road, like they are against the Boston Celtics on Thursday night.
Poole has posted three or more turnovers in 15 of his last 17 games, averaging 4.3 per game over that stretch. He only had two turnovers against Boston earlier this season, but Golden State ranks 29th in the NBA in turnovers per game.
The Celtics only force just over 13.0 turnovers per game, but Poole’s style of play is conducive to him coughing up the rock. This is a terrific value at -115 odds.
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.