Hawks vs. Mavericks prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NBA picks, Jan. 18 best bets from proven model

The Dallas Mavericks aim to right the ship on Wednesday evening. Dallas is 1-4 in the last five games, falling to 24-21 this season, but the Mavericks are 16-6 at home and they host the Atlanta Hawks in this matchup. The Hawks are on a three-game winning streak with a 22-22 overall record, though Atlanta is 10-13 on the road. Atlanta’s injury report is clean for Wednesday’s game. Tim Hardaway Jr. (ankle) is out for Dallas, with Dorian Finney-Smith (adductor) and Josh Green (elbow) listed as questionable.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Dallas as a 2.5-point favorite at home, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 pm ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 233 in the latest Hawks vs. Mavericks odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Hawks vs. Mavericks matchup, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 45-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Hawks vs. Mavericks and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavericks vs. Hawks:

  • Hawks vs. Mavericks spread: Mavericks -2.5
  • Hawks vs. Mavericks over/under: 233 points
  • Hawks vs. Mavericks money line: Atlanta +115, Dallas -135
  • ATL: The Hawks are 9-13-1 against the spread in road games
  • DAL: The Mavericks are 8-12-2 against the spread in home games
  • Hawks vs. Mavericks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Games | Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks

Why the Hawks can cover

Atlanta’s defense is playing well this season, and the Hawks are bolstered by the play of Clint Capela and Onyeka Okongwu at the center position. Capela returned from injury on Monday, and he has long been the centerpiece of Atlanta’s defensive approach. The Hawks are giving up fewer than 1.13 points per possession this season, and Atlanta is the best team in the NBA in 3-point defense, with opponents shooting only 34.1% from long range. The Hawks force 15.0 turnovers per game, a top-10 mark, and Atlanta is also in the top 10 with 5.1 blocked shots per game.

While the Mavericks do have positive offensive traits, Dallas also has clear shortcomings on offense. The Mavericks are dead-last in the NBA in assists (22.1 per game), fast break points (9.6 per game), and points in the paint (42.0 per game). Dallas is also in the bottom five of the NBA in free throw accuracy (74.3%) and offensive rebound rate (22.9%) this season.

Why the Mavericks can cover

Dallas is a high powered offensive team this season. The Mavericks are scoring 114.8 points per 100 possessions, ranking No. 6 in the NBA. Dallas is shooting 57.9% from 2-point range, No. 3 in the league, and the Mavericks excel on the margins. That includes top-three marks in free throw creation (26.4 attempts per game) and ball security (12.4 turnovers per game).

On defense, Dallas is above-average at contesting 3-point shots, holding opponents to 35.4% shooting, and the Mavericks rank in the top 10 in assists allowed (24.2 per game) and fast break points allowed (12.8 per game). From there, Dallas is excellent at home, out-scoring opponents by 5.5 points per 010 possessions and posting a 16-6 record.

How to make Mavericks vs. Hawks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, with 10 players projected to reach double-figures. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Hawks vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picksand find out.

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